本帖最后由 秀芬 于 2015-6-26 05:28 编辑
http://www.mundoalbiceleste.com/上有位IP属来自孟加拉国的阿根廷球迷Mafioso,同样认为佩克尔曼会变阵4231并且从比赛的第一分钟开始,就和阿根廷展开对攻:
“As Colombia's striker duo isn't working and their 2 main CDM is out of the game,they may go for an extra midfielder and play 4-5-1 instead of 4-2-2-2.May be Ibarbo on the left,James on middle,Cudrado on right and Jackson Martinez as lone striker. But Pakerman also has a history of keep playing some players even though they are ineffective.So chances are also that he will go with previous players.
Pakerman will try to pressure our midfield from the beginning as everyone has seen that we crumbled under pressure in our previous 3 game.He will do it from the beginning as he knows with his key midfielders gone,there is a probability that if he parks the bus his side will concede 2/3 goals before his team starts late half 2nd half push as other teams did.They will press us with extra man and will attack with big number of players as fast as possible coz we play with high line.They will foul and they will provoke as we attack them.And let not forget,Ospina always shines against Argentina.This is a game of patience,rather of excellence”
他说的内容基本和我在#759说的没分别。补充一些我没说道的:
(1)佩克尔曼有不变阵的传统,即使主力球员表现不佳,所以他也有可能坚持小组赛阶段的4-2-2-2阵型首发。
(2)哥伦比亚缺少中场防守大将,如果比赛一开始就摆大巴,很可能坚持不到阿根廷体力不支就已经落后2,3球,这是推测佩克尔曼可能先发制人的主要理由。
(3)不能忘记一个事实,哥伦比亚门将奥斯皮纳每次碰阿根廷总是发挥不错。
佩克尔曼在今天的新闻发布会上表示自己的球员状态都很好,并且“哥伦比亚将会坚持有球踢法,用积极的战术给阿根廷造成伤害”。大将伊巴尔博表示,阿根廷在小组赛阶段只犯了很少一点错误,但哥伦比亚有能力抓住这样的错误打击阿根廷。哥伦比亚球迷普遍对佩克尔曼把J罗放到左路,而不是世界杯时期的中路很不满,认为J罗的位置错误造成了他发挥不佳。
佩克尔曼在2006和2014世界杯两次1/8决赛对阵强敌时,都对主力进行了调整,增加了有对抗能力的球员,并且整体打法相当保守,结局也都很悲催。但这次从各方面的迹象来看,由于折损了队中的防守中坚,老头子可能要豁出去一把了。我现在也越来越倾向于认为他会豁出去,替补后腰毕竟实力比不上原来的主力,本身哥伦比亚球员的防守位置感也比不上乌拉圭,巴拉圭,一开始就蹲在那里让梅西迪马利亚轮番的突,很可能不到70分钟就有人见红了(裁判到时候可能会略微偏向阿根廷,要知道南美足协多半是更希望看到阿根廷进四强拼巴西的,智利也希望巴西阿根廷在半决赛耗一耗)。比赛局面将非常难以预料,虽然0:0的闷局仍然是大概率事件,但阿根廷半场领先或者落后2球也都是可能的结果。
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