1991-2009年,fifa先生前5名列举如下表,似乎可以看出一些矛头,即前一届先生包括前三名成员,对下一届前三名或者前5名组成的影响。当然,这里面原因,还有球员的专业持续生命力的原因,也就是实力持久表现。然而,惯性也不能否认,例如,卡卡,07fifa先生,到了09赛季,其表现已经大不如从前,但仍然进了前5名,这就是影响力惯性使然,而其中商业价值会扮演很重要的因素。
表1 1991-2009 FIFA年度先生评选入围前5名情况一览表 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 09 | Lionel Messi (ARG) | Cristiano Ronaldo(POR) | Xavi(ESP) | KAKA (BRA) | Andrés Iniesta | 08 | Cristiano Ronaldo(POR) | Lionel Messi (ARG) | Fernando Torres | KAKA (BRA) | Xavi(ESP) | 07 | KAKA (BRA) | Lionel MESSI (ARG) | Cristiano Ronaldo(POR) | Didier Drogba | RONALDINHO (BRA) | 06 | Fabio CANNAVARO (ITA) | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | RONALDINHO (BRA) | Thierry HENRY (FRA) | Samuel ETOO (CMR) | 05 | RONALDINHO (BRA) | Frank LAMPARD (ENG) | Samuel ETOO (CMR) | Thierry HENRY (FRA) | Adriano(BRA) | 04 | RONALDINHO (BRA) | Thierry HENRY (FRA) | Andriy SHEVCHENKO (UKR) | Deco(POR) | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | 03 | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | Thierry HENRY (FRA) | RONALDO (BRA) | Pavel Nedvěd | Roberto Carlos(BRA) | 02 | RONALDO (BRA) | Oliver KAHN (GER) | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | Roberto Carlos(BRA) | RIVALDO (BRA) | 01 | LUIS FIGO (POR) | David BECKHAM (ENG) | Raul(ESP) | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | RIVALDO (BRA) | 00 | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | LUIS FIGO (POR) | RIVALDO (BRA) | Gabriel Batistuta (ARG) | Andriy SHEVCHENKO (UKR) | 99 | RIVALDO (BRA) | David BECKHAM (ENG) | Gabriel Batistuta (ARG) | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | Christian Vieri(ITA) |
续表1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 98 | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) | RONALDO (BRA) | Davor SUKER (CRO) | Michael Owen (ENG) | Gabriel Batistuta (ARG) | 97 | RONALDO (BRA) | ROBERTO CARLOS (BRA) | Dennis BERGKAMP (NED) | Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA) |
Raul(ESP) | 96 | RONALDO (BRA) | George WEAH (LBR) | Alan SHEARER (ENG) | Matthias Sammer(GER) | Juergen Klinsmann(GER) | 95 | George WEAH (LBR) | Paolo Maldini (ITA) | Juergen Klinsmann(GER) | Romario (BRA) | Roberto Baggio (ITA) | 94 | Romario (BRA) | Hristo Stoichkov (BUL) | Roberto Baggio (ITA) | Gheorghe Hagi | Paolo Maldini (ITA) | 93 | Roberto Baggio (ITA) | Romario (BRA) | Dennis BERGKAMP (NED) | Peter Schmeichel | Hristo Stoichkov (BUL) | 92 |
Marco van Basten (NED) | Hristo Stoichkov (BUL) | Thomas HAESSLER (GER) | Jean-Pierre Papin(FRA) | Brian Laudrup | 91 | Lothar Matthaeus (GER) | Jean-Pierre Papin (FRA) | Gary Lineker (ENG) | Robert Prosinecki | Marco van Basten (NED) |
那么,按照这个特点,梅西和c罗,还会入选10年新世界先生的前3名或者前5名吗?不能排除,这2位目前仍然表现强劲的前先生和卫冕先生入选的可能性,虽然南非世界杯上表现不如其俱乐部过去一赛季。
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