金球和fifa先生的惯性

elite

1991-2009年，fifa先生前5名列举如下表，似乎可以看出一些矛头，即前一届先生包括前三名成员，对下一届前三名或者前5名组成的影响。当然，这里面原因，还有球员的专业持续生命力的原因，也就是实力持久表现。然而，惯性也不能否认，例如，卡卡，07fifa先生，到了09赛季，其表现已经大不如从前，但仍然进了前5名，这就是影响力惯性使然，而其中商业价值会扮演很重要的因素。

表1 1991-2009 FIFA年度先生评选入围前5名情况一览表

	1	2	3	4	5
09	Lionel Messi (ARG)	Cristiano Ronaldo(POR)	Xavi(ESP)	KAKA (BRA)	Andrés Iniesta
08	Cristiano Ronaldo(POR)	Lionel Messi (ARG)	Fernando Torres	KAKA (BRA)	Xavi(ESP)
07	KAKA (BRA)	Lionel MESSI (ARG)	Cristiano Ronaldo(POR)	Didier Drogba	RONALDINHO (BRA)
06	Fabio CANNAVARO (ITA)	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	RONALDINHO (BRA)	Thierry HENRY (FRA)	Samuel ETOO (CMR)
05	RONALDINHO (BRA)	Frank LAMPARD (ENG)	Samuel ETOO (CMR)	Thierry HENRY (FRA)	Adriano(BRA)
04	RONALDINHO (BRA)	Thierry HENRY (FRA)	Andriy SHEVCHENKO (UKR)	Deco(POR)	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)
03	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	Thierry HENRY (FRA)	RONALDO (BRA)	Pavel Nedvěd	Roberto Carlos(BRA)
02	RONALDO (BRA)	Oliver KAHN (GER)	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	Roberto Carlos(BRA)	RIVALDO (BRA)
01	LUIS FIGO (POR)	David BECKHAM (ENG)	Raul(ESP)	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	RIVALDO (BRA)
00	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	LUIS FIGO (POR)	RIVALDO (BRA)	Gabriel Batistuta (ARG)	Andriy SHEVCHENKO (UKR)
99	RIVALDO (BRA)	David BECKHAM (ENG)	Gabriel Batistuta (ARG)	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	Christian Vieri(ITA)

续表1

	1	2	3	4	5
98	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	RONALDO (BRA)	Davor SUKER (CRO)	Michael Owen (ENG)	Gabriel Batistuta (ARG)
97	RONALDO (BRA)	ROBERTO CARLOS (BRA)	Dennis BERGKAMP (NED)	Zinedine ZIDANE (FRA)	Raul(ESP)
96	RONALDO (BRA)	George WEAH (LBR)	Alan SHEARER (ENG)	Matthias Sammer(GER)	Juergen Klinsmann(GER)
95	George WEAH (LBR)	Paolo Maldini (ITA)	Juergen Klinsmann(GER)	Romario (BRA)	Roberto Baggio (ITA)
94	Romario (BRA)	Hristo Stoichkov (BUL)	Roberto Baggio (ITA)	Gheorghe Hagi	Paolo Maldini (ITA)
93	Roberto Baggio (ITA)	Romario (BRA)	Dennis BERGKAMP (NED)	Peter Schmeichel	Hristo Stoichkov (BUL)
92	Marco van Basten (NED)	Hristo Stoichkov (BUL)	Thomas HAESSLER (GER)	Jean-Pierre Papin(FRA)	Brian Laudrup
91	Lothar Matthaeus (GER)	Jean-Pierre Papin (FRA)	Gary Lineker (ENG)	Robert Prosinecki	Marco van Basten (NED)

那么，按照这个特点，梅西和c罗，还会入选10年新世界先生的前3名或者前5名吗？不能排除，这2位目前仍然表现强劲的前先生和卫冕先生入选的可能性，虽然南非世界杯上表现不如其俱乐部过去一赛季。

蓝色高棉

领先好多啊，10名以后都是零点几的票点

pedro

2011年度fifa金球得票率

pedro

其实只要看看，历史上金球奖获得者中，大多数球星木有国家队冠军荣誉的，主要还是在俱乐部的常态性优异表现。

若果非要凭借国家队拿到欧（美洲）洲杯甚或世界杯，那么，我们熟知的最近20年的球星是不该拿先生荣誉的，如91之帕潘、92之范巴斯滕、93之巴乔、94之斯托伊奇科夫、95之维阿，再如01之欧文，03之内德韦德，04之舍普琴科、05之小罗、07卡卡（木有参加美洲杯）、08之C罗，09和10之梅西

thewall

  南美网对梅西和玛塔卫冕的报道
The Argentine and the Brazilian repeated the award given by FIFA in 2009  Lionel Messi and Marta are again chosen as the best in the world Jan
10
2011

South American Football took everything in the annual gala that FIFA offered at the Palace of Congresses in Zurich. Argentina's Lionel Messi and Brazil's Marta were selected as the best players in the world for 2010. Thus, both the Barcelona striker and the lead striker of Los Angeles Sol repeated the award that distinguishes them as best players.

Lionel Messi: "I didn’t think I was going to win"

Barcelona's Argentine striker Lionel Messi has been awarded for the second consecutive year the Golden Ball that distinguishes the best player in the world. The award was delivered by FIFA at the annual gala held at the Palace of Congresses in Zurich. In the voting by coaches, captains of national teams and sports journalists, Messi surpassed his two teammates, Spaniards Xavi Hernandez and Andres Iniesta.

This is the eighth Golden Ball achieved by a Barca player. Besides Messi in 2009, the award was won by Ronaldinho in 2005, Rivaldo in 1999, Stoichkov in 1994, Cruyff in 1973 and 1974 and Luis Suarez in 1960. The player from Rosario, at age 23, is the only Argentine international (Di Stefano won it twice but as a Spaniard, because the award was only given to the Europeans) that has achieved this award since it was created in 1956 by the journal 'France Football'. "The truth is I was not expecting to win it," Messi acknowledged with surprise after receiving the award from Pep Guardiola, the Barcelona coach.

The Argentine 'crack'  closed his speech by dedicating this second Golden Ball: "I share it with my colleagues, without which I would obviously not be here, also to my loved ones, who were always by my side, and to all Barça fans and all Argentines. "

It seemed that his fellows Iniesta and Xavi were more likely to get the award after lifting the trophy after winning the world cup in South Africa, but the 60 goals Messi scored in 2010 (58 with the club and two with Argentina) weighted heavily. Therefore, the former Barcelona player Luis Suarez is still the only Spaniard that has won a Golden Ball And that was fifty years ago.

In the end, the two midfielders of Barcelona have had to settle for being part of the best eleven of the year, which is chosen by the international players ' union . Xavi, Iniesta, Iker Casillas, Gerard Pique and Carles Puyol and David Villa are all part of the Best XI, which is completed by Brazilians Maicon Douglas and Lucimar da Silva 'Lucio', both of Inter of Milan, Dutchman Wesley Snejider, also of Inter, Messi himself and Real Madrid's Portuguese player Cristiano Ronaldo.

Brazil's Marta is already a habit

Brazilian player Marta Silva, the "Rainha Marta (Queen Marta), won her fifth Golden Ball and picked up the award excited at the Palace of Congreses in Zurich, after a fantastic season in the US league.

Marta charmed fans at the matches of the Women's Professional Football League of the USA, where she won the Golden Boot as top scorer and was elected best player of the season. Marta obtained 38.20% of the votes, while Germany's Birgit Prinz and Fatmire Bajramaj received 15.18% and 9.96% respectively. “True that in part it is a weight, a big responsibility, because people expect more from you. But I always worked well with my teams as in the Brazilian team. My friends have shown me that the responsibility belong to all. So I see this award as something positive, as an incentive, a motivation that strengthens my strong desire to work and come back here more times, to win more times, always helping my teams ", said the Brazilian player.

The other winners of the night

Real Madrid coach, Jose Mourinho, has been appointed coach of the year for 2010, thanks to the 'triplet' achieved with Inter of Milan (League, Cup and Champions League) last season. His German colleague Silvia Neid, world champion with Germany was the winner of the slate. Turkish striker Hamit Altintop was awarded the  Buska trophy for the best goal of 2010 (a beautiful volley from outside the area), the under-17 women's team from Haiti, received the Fair Play Award, and South African Archbishop Desmond Tutu, received the FIFA Presidential Award.

http://img.mazimou.com:90/5094/images/7848.gif

Penelope

09fifa年度先生评选前五名、和金球奖评选前五名，梅西、哈维、伊涅斯塔都进了首届fifa金球奖评选的前三名，惯性使然，实力使然

Penelope

梅西也会象玛塔一样四次蝉联吗，无限期待中

pedro

这个...

我就不用攒人品这个借口了

梅西夺金，普天大赦
北极海 发表于 2011-1-11 16:50

普天大赫，普天大和

pedro

90兄这个帖子RP开的太好了，果然惯性！！！

今晚要稍微喝点
北极海 发表于 2011-1-11 16:49

好主意

北极海

割鸡鸡。。。
flight 发表于 2011-1-11 03:25

这个...

我就不用攒人品这个借口了

梅西夺金，普天大赦

北极海

90兄这个帖子RP开的太好了，果然惯性！！！

今晚要稍微喝点

elite

Messi, Marta on top of the world (FIFA.com) Monday 10 January 2011

Getty Images

Hosted at the Zurich Kongresshaus, Monday evening’s FIFA Ballon d’Or Gala raised the curtain on the new decade in style. Attracting the cream of the footballing world, who had come to pay tribute to the leading players and coaches of 2010, the event reached its long-awaited climax with the award of the inaugural FIFA Ballon d’Or, a fusion of the FIFA World Player of the Year award and France Football magazine’s Ballon d’Or.

Sports journalists Pedro Pinto of CNN International and Carol Manana of SAB Sports were our compères for the evening, which began promptly at 18.30 CET with a dazzling performance by football freestylers Jeremy Lynch and William Wingrove. Their ball-juggling trickery earned warm applause from an illustrious audience, which contained a galaxy of great names.

FIFA President Joseph S. Blatter then made a short welcome speech before inviting Francois Moriniere, the CEO of France Football, on to the stage to present an action-packed video showcasing the footballing highlights of 2010.
That look backwards was followed by a vision of the future as Steffi Jones, the President of the Local Organising Committee for the FIFA Women’s World Cup Germany 2011™, set out her hopes for what will be one of the main events of the year ahead.

The time had then come to start handing out the awards, with the peerless former Netherlands striker Marco Van Basten stepping up to announce the FIFA/FIFPro World XI for 2010. The players in question were Iker Casillas, Gerard Pique, Carles Puyol, Maicon, Lucio, Xavi, Andres Iniesta, Wesley Sneijder, Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo and David Villa, all of whom received a lengthy and deserved round of applause from the gallery.  

Taking centre stage after that star-studded side was none other than ex-South Africa legend Lucas Radebe, who turned the spotlight on another very special outfit, the Haiti women’s U-17 team. The youngsters from the Caribbean nation pocketed the FIFA Fair Play Award for their courage in continuing to fulfil their playing obligations despite the immense suffering caused by the earthquake that struck the country last January.

From one of the emotional highpoints of the evening it was on to one of the new awards of this year’s revamped ceremony, as Vicente del Bosque presented the award for the FIFA World Coach of the Year for Women’s Football to Silvia Neid, who saw off the challenge of Maren Meinert (GER) and Pia Sundhage (SWE).
The title of FIFA World Coach of the Year for Men’s Football went to Jose Mourinho, who took receipt of the trophy from Silvia Neid and received the applause of his two fellow nominees, Vicente del Bosque (ESP) and Pep Guardiola (ESP).

Blatter then returned to the stage to bestow the FIFA Presidential Award to Archbishop Desmond Tutu of South Africa for his contribution in making the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa™ such a success.

Goals galore and talent aplenty
Next on the agenda was the FIFA Puskas Award for the best goal of 2010. After the audience had been treated to a video showing the ten magnificent strikes in the running for the accolade, a clearly elated Hamit Altintop collected his prize.

That left just two more prizes to be announced, but not before a musical interlude in the company of Jamie Cullum. No sooner had the English jazz singer’s dulcet tones died down than the spotlight turned on Fatmire Bajramaj (GER), Marta (BRA) and Birgit Prinz (GER), the three nominees for the FIFA Women’s World Player of the Year. Following a short film summarising the trio’s achievements of 2010, the trophy was handed to an elated Marta. “It is another award for me, but that I wish to share with my colleagues from FC Gold Pride, Brazil and Santos FC. It's almost too good to be true,” said the winner with a tear in her eye.

From there it was on to the moment everyone had been waiting for: the announcement of the winner of the FIFA Ballon d’Or 2010. The lights dimmed once more as the audience was treated to a video featuring just some of the magic moments that candidates Andres Iniesta (ESP), Lionel Messi (ARG) and Xavi Hernandez (ESP) served up last year. As the tension rose in the auditorium, Moriniere and Blatter joined forces to read out the winner’s name, presenting the coveted prize to a suitably grateful Lionel Messi. "Thanks so much for this applause. To be honest, I didn't expect to win today, but it was already great to be here next to my two mates," Messi said. "To win it makes it even more special. I want to share with all of my mates, my family, all the Barcelonistas and the Argentinians."

The seal was set on a truly glittering gala when he was joined on stage by all the evening’s winners, who received a thoroughly merited ovation from everyone present.

flight

第一是铁定不可能的了

去年是世界杯年，不可能给梅西金球的
北极海 发表于 2011-1-10 22:38

割鸡鸡。。。

elite

难以置信，又在情理之中
世界杯年铁律，终被梅西打破

WAYGEE

蝉联了...

elite

伟大梅西！传奇的梅西诞生了

北极海

小白只提了自己

哈维提了梅西

梅西提了小白和哈维



这次前三的名次已经很明白了

thewall

Historic year for quiet man Iniesta(11/05/1984)

小白还是渴望当选金球先生的
"Who am I to say if I deserve the Ballon d’Or or not? I’d be lying if I told myself I didn’t mind either way, but it’s not something I’m obsessed with. Just being on the list of 23 candidates is special in itself. I don’t think a player wins the Ballon d’Or thanks to one goal alone. If I’m fortunate enough to win it’ll be because of a combination of factors.”
On his chances of winning the FIFA Ballon d’Or 2010.

thewall

Xavi: Pulling the strings for club and country(25/01/1980)

“The only reason the rest of us have any chance of winning this year is because the World Cup didn’t turn out too well for Argentina; because if it had, then it (the FIFA Ballon d’Or) would be no contest. In my view, Leo [Messi] is now even better than [Diego] Maradona was.”
When asked his views on this year’s FIFA Ballon d’Or.

哈维对金球奖得主看法是，梅西仍是金球奖得主的首选

thewall

梅西2010年心声
2010 in words
“If I don’t win, then I sincerely hope that it goes to one of my Barça colleagues. All the odds are in favour of Xavi and [Andres] Iniesta and to be honest they’re great people and great players who deserve it more than anybody.”
On his candidates for the 2010 FIFA Ballon d’Or.
如果我落选，那么我衷心希望我的巴萨队友之一，能赢得金球奖。哈维和小白就是这样的队友，他们比其他人都有资格当选

“To become a footballing great you have to win the World Cup.”
On his future goals.
只有赢得世界杯，你才能成为绿茵场上王者

“It was a very special game. When I found out I was captain I was very relaxed about the whole thing, and it was a wonderful experience.”
On skippering La Albiceleste in the 2-0 defeat of Greece at South Africa 2010.

thewall

第一是铁定不可能的了

去年是世界杯年，不可能给梅西金球的
北极海 发表于 2011-1-10 22:38

虽然可能性极小，但还是希望有传奇性的结果出来

不过，小白或者哈维当选，也不意外

北极海

第一是铁定不可能的了

去年是世界杯年，不可能给梅西金球的

thewall

梅西到底是第三、第二、还是第一呢，俺看还是有悬念的

thewall

克鲁伊夫道出了梅西唯一的不足：“作为世界上最好的球员，梅西应该会说点英语。否则的话他无法跟全世界一半的人对话。

梅西足球语言是全世界的，大家都看得懂

thewall

对拉科的比赛，梅西先用一次助攻安慰了期待他进球的球迷。巴萨第26分钟取得领先，当时梅西右路拿球，在观察好队友的跑位后，突然直传禁区右侧，比利亚小角度射门从阿兰苏比亚身下滚入近角。梅西爱上了助攻。第38分钟，梅西的精准直传撕碎拉科防线，阿比达尔跟进破门可惜因越位在先被判无效。第81分钟，梅西还有一次助攻，巴萨发动快速反击，梅西如箭头般前插，并且与队友不断完成配合，尽管梅西在禁区弧顶被曼努埃尔·巴勃罗撞倒，但裁判掌握有利原则，佩德罗挑射破门，巴萨最终4比0大胜。

　　“梅西不进球的时候他还会助攻。”赛前《世界体育报》曾为梅西写了这样的报道，说梅西的效率不仅仅是用进球来衡量的，他的助攻同样致命。几个最好的例子是，对皇马、对西班牙人以及1月5日对毕尔巴鄂竞技都没有进球，但他的存在就能给对手极大威胁，对皇马，他的两次助攻让比利亚摧毁了穆里尼奥集团；对西班牙人，他又用两次漂亮的助攻让佩德罗和比利亚爆发进球能量；对毕尔巴鄂竞技，梅西接哈维传球后助攻阿比达尔得分，帮助巴萨完成晋级。

　　更多的比赛，梅西是既进球，又助攻，比如这场对拉科的比赛。此前对帕纳辛纳科斯，他梅开二度，又助攻1次；对马竞、塞维利亚、赫塔菲、阿尔梅里亚等比赛梅西也都是奉献进球加助攻。他已经在17场比赛中取得进球，接近球队比赛数的六成。西甲第一循环还没有结束，但根据《世界体育报》的数据，梅西在各项赛事中助攻数已经达到了15次，距离自己在2008-09创造的18次助攻的纪录已经非常近了，而比利亚显然是梅西助攻的最大受益者，梅西已为“葫芦娃”助攻了6次。

　　梅西是球场最大的打破平衡的因素，当马德里媒体摩拳擦掌，准备探讨梅西的小型进球危机时，阿根廷人打破了自己的“迷你”进球荒，而且还是以任意球的方式。下半场第6分钟，拉科防守出现错误，梅西带球前进，直奔阿兰苏比亚防守的大门而去，鲁文·佩雷斯对梅西犯规，这一开始看上去像是正确的选择，因为这样可以防止阿根廷人打入比赛第二球，让拉科的希望基本破灭。

　　但事实证明，这样的选择也是非常错误的。梅西用自己的左脚取得了一个不多见的任意球，阿根廷天才小小助跑之后抬腿便射，皮球越过人墙贴着门柱入网，拉科门将阿兰苏比亚如泥塑般呆立，做不出任何的反应。这边厢，巴萨球员欢天喜地地围住梅西庆祝进球；那边厢，拉科球员如遭受人手大侮辱般痛苦不堪。梅西不但打入了自己在西甲的第18球，而且还向鲁文·佩雷斯，向里亚索球场，向全世界证明，他是不可阻挡的。

　　带着又一场比赛的精彩表现，梅西将与哈维、伊涅斯塔一起前往瑞士苏黎世参加国际足联的金球先生颁奖盛典，梅西对自己能进入最后的评选表示高兴，但得不得奖他并不在意，“三位巴萨青训营出来的球员能进入最后的评选，这是最值得享受的。事实上，他们比我更配得上得奖，西班牙赢得了世界杯，是他们将球队带入了决赛，而且伊涅斯塔还在决赛中打入了关键进球。在投票中，世界杯的分量很重，如果他们中的一个得奖，我也会像自己得奖一样庆祝。”

　　有意思的是，哈维和伊涅斯塔都认为梅西比他们强：“梅西是最好的，这是毫无疑问的。”瓜迪奥拉也表示：“梅西是最好的一个。”克鲁伊夫更是毫不犹豫地将梅西放到最佳的位置：“梅西能完成其他人无法完成的东西。在球队需要的时候，他总会显得很给力，而且还非常慷慨。每个时代都有自己的英雄，迪斯蒂法诺、贝利、我本人、马拉多纳都曾是英雄，现在轮到梅西扮演这个角色了。”最后，克鲁伊夫道出了梅西唯一的不足：“作为世界上最好的球员，梅西应该会说点英语。否则的话他无法跟全世界一半的人对话。”(伊万)