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11-12 ZM专贴(拜仁1-1蓝军:客队赢得点球大战)

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951#
发表于 2012-4-20 22:10:03 | 只看该作者
法布雷加斯虽然几次机会没抓住,但是在比利亚不在的情况下,他在中路的插上和射门能力仍然不可少,中距离左右的射门,他仍然是中场里最靠谱的,梅西适当多拉边对拿球自由度有好处,但是如果是阵地战中选择也并不太多,切尔西仍然会密集中路,适当放边,这种时候选择阿尔维斯套边传中其实是赌概率,更有把握的还是横走中路寻求射门或者塞球,不过如果梅西能通过这种方式正面起速,那他的威胁和牵制作用肯定会更大,这种态势下法布雷加斯还是有积极的意义。另一个前锋选择佩德罗会有更多空切的机会,临门一脚也是强项,不过在某些高压迫阶段,桑切斯的力量可以勉强在前场提供一个支点,如果开场只能上一人,桑切斯还是可以的。
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952#
发表于 2012-4-24 08:32:08 | 只看该作者
法布雷加斯虽然几次机会没抓住,但是在比利亚不在的情况下,他在中路的插上和射门能力仍然不可少,中距离左右的射门,他仍然是中场里最靠谱的,梅西适当多拉边对拿球自由度有好处,但是如果是阵地战中选择也并不太多 ...
红酥手 发表于 2012-4-20 22:10


胖手的观念一向特靠谱, 支持!!


另外胖手谈下对于巴萨弃用皮克的看法,在我看来,弃用皮克是巴萨的一大败笔。
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953#
发表于 2012-4-24 09:27:59 | 只看该作者
可以下一个中场,上昆卡试试,昆卡和桑切斯或者佩德罗打两翼,车子这么压缩空间,在中路控球已经没多大意义了。通过边路尽量把战火烧到车子禁区周围,再尝试突破和配合的话,即使不能进入禁区,定位球也是好的,当然要把握好,上一场梅西制造了好几个位置很好的任意球,可惜都没中。
半生 发表于 2012-4-20 12:15


另外今晚的左翼人选将对巴萨非常重要
周三在斯坦福桥的伊涅斯塔、周六在诺坎普的特略,都没有充分完成其战术任务,尤其是特略
切尔西必然会祭出首回合下半场的所谓“弹弓”阵型,三后腰无悬念
因此巴萨绝不能强打中路,而是需要像对米兰次回合时昆卡那样的角色
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954#
发表于 2012-4-24 11:12:28 | 只看该作者
另外今晚的左翼人选将对巴萨非常重要
周三在斯坦福桥的伊涅斯塔、周六在诺坎普的特略,都没有充分完成其战术任务,尤其是特略
切尔西必然会祭出首回合下半场的所谓“弹弓”阵型,三后腰无悬念
因此巴萨绝不能强打 ...
弗爵爷 发表于 2012-4-24 09:27



巧妇难为无米之炊啊, 想念葫芦娃 和 埃托奥了。
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955#
发表于 2012-4-24 18:44:50 | 只看该作者
关于皮克,如果他的体能不是渣到一定程度,都应该上。我的一贯观点是,定位球防守至少三个高点,中卫里至少一个高点,真正的正面高球冲击下,后腰里高不高没有多大意义,这种球对方会直接打到最后的中卫,也只能由中卫来解决。而且皮克虽高,但是他的防守意识其实要好于普约尔和小马,而速度上他也不吃亏。以往的比赛里,他这侧也经常可以成为进攻的传球发起点。

而如果对方擅于利用边路冲击和中路跟上抢点,边卫更平衡的做法是放一边攻,另一边要相对均衡,需要能在平行移动中保护中路的防守强点。阿比达尔是很可惜的。所谓不斯科茨防守时保护中路或称为中卫的说法在理论上就是有缺陷的,这种态势更多只能在阵地战里呈现,快速攻防中,对防线空挡的弥补和对进攻意图的观察,他是比不上平行移动的边卫的。

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小豆丁梅西 + 30

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956#
发表于 2012-4-25 10:56:07 | 只看该作者
胖手说的太他妈到位了!!  不射不行!!

皮克在我心目中就是世界第一中卫,没有之一!!


看看巴萨这两场的四个失球,一个头球,连续三个单刀,什么狗屁防守!!!小马哥是中后卫吗?? 瓜脑袋锈逗了?


居然还有人说皮克是毒瘤。。。。。。shit!!!  


如果巴萨现在愿意把皮克卖给曼联,佛爵爷做梦都会笑的!!!
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957#
发表于 2012-4-25 12:53:19 | 只看该作者
小马哥在防守体系中可能还能打打,如果踢乱了,打乱战了,他绝对很坑爹,因为他不是中后位,别以为他是啊亚拉。
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958#
发表于 2012-4-25 14:54:11 | 只看该作者
小马哥在防守体系中可能还能打打,如果踢乱了,打乱战了,他绝对很坑爹,因为他不是中后位,别以为他是啊亚拉。
如风如影 发表于 2012-4-25 12:53


恩,不是说小马哥能力不行,而是他最适合的位置就是后腰,硬要让他踢后卫, 那不是坑爹吗!!


说白了,让梅西去踢中后卫,那更坑爹, 但那不是梅西的水平问题,而是教练的水平问题。
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959#
发表于 2012-5-3 23:29:38 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 pedro 于 2012-5-3 23:32 编辑

Barcelona v Real Madrid: El Clasico tactical preview

April 21, 2012

Neither side would have wanted this game to be sandwiched between two European Cup semi-finals – especially since both find themselves one goal down in their respective ties. Usually these sides have had a full week to prepare for the Clasico, or at least the opportunity to rest players ahead of it. This time, the most important game of La Liga season has suddenly arrived.

Barcelona: approach

Barcelona must win the match to have a realistic chance of winning the league. They trail Real Madrid by four points, and though Pep Guardiola will be hopeful his friend Marcelo Bielsa can do him a favour when Real Madrid travel to Athletic’s San Mames stadium, it’s highly unlikely they’ll drop points anywhere else. “If Madrid win or draw, La Liga is theirs,” says Guardiola. “For us it’s simple, we need to win to stay in the league a bit longer. If we don’t win, we’ll congratulate them because they’ll be champions.”

Real Madrid: approach

Real Madrid’s objective here is to avoid defeat. That makes their task simpler in theory, yet possibly more complicated. As Guardiola notes, Barcelona don’t have a choice about how to play. Real do, which means Jose Mourinho has an extra level of strategy to consider.


Guardiola options

Barcelona: formation

Despite many experimentations with 3-4-3 and even 3-3-4 recently, it would be a surprise if Barcelona opted for a back three from the start. As Guardiola noted earlier in the season, it’s difficult for them to play that way unless they control the whole game, and they cannot be sure of controlling the whole game against Real.

But that could all change – in the reverse fixture, Barcelona basically shifted formation midway through, with Guardiola practically declaring afterwards that he wanted his side to start with a back four in order to trick Real, before switching to a three. Dani Alves and Sergio Busquets are the players that can function either at the back or in midfield at the same time (Busquets’ role in the previous league meeting was remarkable, playing centre-back and central midfield at once, a role which probably didn’t get the credit it deserved). But, at least on paper, Barca should start with a back four.

Real Madrid: formation

Mourinho’s default formation has been a 4-2-3-1, though he’s often changed that for the Clasicos in order to play a trivote, a three-man midfield. This has defensive connotations and would undeniably be a cautious move, but Mourinho will have watched Chelsea’s performance in midweek and seen how effective they were at denying space in central positions with three holders.

He will also have acknowledged that Real underperformed, especially defensively, in midweek when playing 4-2-3-1 at Bayern Munich. It was a surprise that Mourinho started Mesut Ozil as a number ten, rather than Esteban Granero, who would have played much deeper and allowed Real to compete against Bayern’s midfield three. The situation for this game is almost identical, and it’s difficult to see how or why Mourinho would want to persist with the 4-2-3-1 when the system he reverted to late on, with Granero in midfield, offers far more defensive protection in the centre.

Barcelona: selection

Barring any huge surprises, there are two and a half issues for Guardiola here. The first is the left side of Barcelona’s attacking unit. In midweek Andres Iniesta played wide-left. His ball retention skills featuring in the front three is a sign that Guardiola wants extra insurance that Barcelona will dominate possession heavily, at the expense of attacking thrust from a natural forward. If this was a cup match, or a game where Barcelona could afford to draw, Iniesta would probably be used as a forward again. But it is likely he’ll be brought back into the midfield, to make room for a true attacker like Pedro Rodriguez, who has endured a disappointing campaign, but does offer the type of runs Barcelona will need – in behind the defence from wide positions. This might mean Cesc Fabregas is dropped, after his poor finishing on Wednesday.

The second issue is at the back. Gerard Pique’s form has been dodgy this season, he’s still recovering from injury, and he missed the midweek game, where Javier Mascherano was preferred in the centre of defence. Pique may be recalled if Guardiola wants a defensively-solid player at left-back, as Carles Puyol could move out there. If not, and he wants more attacking drive, then Adriano will play at left-back and Pique is likely to be on the bench again. On form, Mascherano is no more of a gamble than Pique.


Mourinho options

The half-issue is Alexis Sanchez, who would start if fully fit – but Guardiola says he’s doubtful for the game. Isaac Cuenca would stretch the play from the flank but doesn’t offer a significant goal threat himself, and if Sanchez doesn’t make it, Fabregas might get a reprieve.

Real Madrid: selection

Mourinho would have considered bringing Pepe into midfield, in the roving destroyer role he performed in the Clasicos last year – but he’s needed at the back for this match. Granero seems a logical choice alongside Xabi Alonso and Sami Khedira.

The other issue in the defensive part of the side is left-back. Fabio Coentrao was favoured over Marcelo in Munich, and neither covered themselves in glory – Coentrao with a mistake in the build-up to Mario Gomez’s winner, and Marcelo with a poor late tackle after coming on. But Mourinho might field both down the same flank, as he did towards the end of that Bayern game – either would be perfect for playing the Ramires role, tracking Alves and then breaking past him. Coentrao, who has played as a midfielder frequently this term, would probably be more suited to the higher position.

If Mourinho does play two left-backs – a strategy Valencia have used effectively against Barca – where would that leave Cristiano Ronaldo? Possibly on the right, which is the area Real will feel most ‘free’ in, but possibly as a lone forward. He doesn’t like playing there, as he sees little of the ball, but Mourinho’s only Real-era win over Barcelona came in the Copa Del Rey final when he did. He has both the pace to work the channels, and the height to cause problems in the air.

That would leave Angel Di Maria, Mesut Ozil and Karim Benzema fighting for the final position. Benzema would allow switching between him and Ronaldo, Ozil would be able to float inside as he did very well at the Nou Camp in the Copa del Rey earlier in the season (though that relied on Busquets being distracted by Kaka), while Di Maria is the natural option but is lacking fitness.

Depending on how Mourinho plays; two, three or even four of Ronaldo, Di Maria, Ozil and Benzema could start. But Ronaldo upfront and Di Maria on the right seems the most logical defensively, and that is the priority.

Barcelona: tactics

Barcelona’s approach on Wednesday was odd – they played with little natural width (hence why Pedro and Cuenca were introduced later on), yet also got outnumbered in the central zone where they wanted to play.


Possible line-ups

Here they need to stretch the play, expand the Nou Camp pitch and create an open game in the centre. If that means leaving 3 v 3 in the middle against a Real Madrid solely looking to break up play, so be it. Barca should have the faith they can win that battle.

The role of Messi is inevitably key. Barcelona are relying on him too much at the moment, and he needs more support in the penalty box. Part of the reason John Terry and Gary Cahill made so many blocks from Messi’s shots was because they weren’t distracted by other runners, which is usually a feature of Barcelona’s play. Again, this is why Pedro is important (and why Fabregas might be a better bet than Cuenca, even if he doesn’t offer the same pitch-stretching abilities).

But Messi’s role as chief goalscorer means he can’t drop too deep. Against Chelsea, and in that Copa Del Rey final last year, he got frustrated by the lack of service and dropped past the opposition holders, which gives Barcelona a 4 v 3. But in a way, it negates the point of him in that false nine role – which is that he stays between the lines and gives Sergio Ramos and Pepe doubt about whether they should follow or not. If he drops too deep, there’s no doubt, Real let him go.

Guardiola must be careful about the positioning of Alves, who was caught out in London. Real spent a lot of time in last year’s Clasicos hitting diagonals in behind the full-backs, and Alves must react intelligently according to who his direct opponent is.

Iniesta also has a big role in this game, as the link between midfield and attack. Barcelona’s passing at Stamford Bridge was surprisingly slow – Iniesta is the man who must provide the sudden change of tempo, and the incision. It’s also worth pointing out that Iniesta has the third-highest shots per game in the Barca squad (after Messi and the injured David Villa) but doesn’t contribute enough goals.

Real Madrid: tactics

Mourinho’s strategy against Barca so far this season has involved pressing heavily for the first few minutes, then gradually retreating into a deep position. That seems a favourable approach again, as Barcelona have been slow to settle down into their passing rhythm at the start of games.

The interesting player on the Real side is Khedira, who has the energy to close down in midfield. Mourinho could try to replicate what Chelsea did on Tuesday – sit deep, but use one man to close down higher up. Khedira’s mobility could be vital – even if it forces Barcelona to go sideways rather than play through the middle so readily, it will be useful.

But it will be equally fascinating to see how Real break. The space behind Alves is absolutely vital, and whoever plays on the left wing must be brave enough to realise when Alves has moved too high and wide and isn’t a huge attacking threat, leave him, and get into a position to break forward. Ramires did that perfectly. The role of the lone forward is also important – there’s no great point in him standing high up against the centre-backs, since they will be outnumbered and won’t be getting a great deal of support. Instead, they must work the channels, pull the centre-backs out of position, and possibly take up positions on the wing when the player on that side is back defending. Ronaldo seems best for this job.

Key questions:

1. Will Real press, and if so, for how long?

2. Where, and how frequently, is Messi receiving the ball?

3. Where are Barcelona seeking to create situations of numerical superiority, and which players are being dragged out of position in order to do this – can Real break past them?

4. How does the game develop – do Barca shift formation again?
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960#
发表于 2012-5-3 23:34:23 | 只看该作者
959楼参考文献
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961#
发表于 2012-5-3 23:36:34 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 pedro 于 2012-5-3 23:38 编辑

Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid: Real on brink of title

April 22, 2012


The starting line-ups

Cristiano Ronaldo scored the winner as Real Madrid effectively clinched the title at the Nou Camp.

Pep Guardiola made two surprise decisions, playing La Masia products Thiago Alcantara and Cristian Tello – the former in midfield, the latter in a wide-left role. Gerard Pique was omitted again.

Jose Mourinho was brave with his starting XI, selecting the same side that had underperformed in Munich in midweek, which meant Fabio Coentrao continuing at left-back.

As with Chelsea in midweek, Real had to depend upon Barcelona finishing poorly – but overall they limited the number of chances Barca created, and were the more efficient side.

Barcelona shape

Whereas Real played their usual 4-2-3-1, Guardiola’s choice of formation was a surprise. He went for the 3-4-3, which meant Dani Alves pushed very high up on the right, Tello on the opposite flank, and Adriano on the left of a back three. This was an attacking gamble by Guardiola – he’s commented before on how dangerous it is to play a back three without controlling the whole game.

In a sense, it also hinted at Guardiola’s lack of confidence in Barcelona’s attacking department – he felt he needed two wingers to stretch the play on either side, yet also an additional midfielder to ensure superiority in the centre. This came at the risk of defensive stability, and Barcelona were particularly vulnerable to breaks into the channels/wings.

Back three / four

Of course, when Barcelona play a three-man defence they’re always half-thinking about playing with a four. The man to drop in here was Sergio Busquets, who was a central defender when Real broke quickly down the flanks and one of the wide defenders had to move across to the wing, but he became the deepest midfielder when Barcelona had the ball.

Individually Busquets played the role very well, but there were two problems in the defensive transitions with this approach, mainly because of the speed with which Real attacked. Most obviously, Barcelona were bare down the flanks, but there was also the secondary problem that Busquets was forced to leave Mesut Ozil when he was dropping into the back – this gave the German time on the ball to thread passes through to the attackers. In fact, it was a combination of those issues that resulted in Real’s winner.

Real defence

Real broadly implemented their previous strategy of pressing high early on, then dropping deep. But the initial pressing wasn’t so heavy, nor was the drop-off so sudden and obvious. It was all much more controlled. Mourinho is seemingly happy with the way Real often use a ‘broken press’ – the front four close down, but then the two holding midfielders stand off and make sure they stay close to the defence. This has been obvious in the past couple of months and particularly at Bayern in midweek, and though it looks far from ideal, it’s happened so often that Mourinho must endorse it. It’s at odds with his usual insistence on being compact, and it can give Barca’s deep midfielders time on the ball, but it did result in a couple of Barca errors when passing out of the back.

That said, some level of compactness was retained by the fact Real didn’t drop too deep. Mourinho had famously held out against Barcelona in 2010 with Inter by telling his defence to play extremely close to goal, almost inside the penalty area. Here Real were braver with their positioning, and caught Barcelona offside five times. Only after Sanchez’s arrival did Barcelona have a real threat over the top (more on that later).

But this wasn’t a battle of formations, dependent upon one man getting space, or one side cleverly dominating a certain zone. Barca had more players in midfield, of course, but Real sat deep with six men behind the ball and let them play – Barcelona’s possession was 72%, but Mourinho wasn’t troubled by this. He made his side focus on cutting out balls into the final third, and was actually hoping Barcelona would come onto Real, in order to leave spaces at the back.

Lack of Barcelona cohesion

The real tactical issue, while not wanting to detract from Real’s excellent shape, was Barcelona’s lack of quality in attacking zones. Mourinho will have been delighted about how rarely his centre-backs were dragged out of position, yet also shocked about easy it was for them.

The main problem was the lack of support for Lionel Messi. Guardiola’s decision to go with two ‘true’ wide players on either flank meant Messi wasn’t going to receive much assistance in the penalty box from either of them – Tello stayed wide up against Alvaro Arbeloa, and although his finishes were very poor, he played the rest of his role reasonably well. Alves, on the other side, hugged the touchline more.

Therefore, with the Real defence stretched, runs had to come from midfield. Thiago played quite deep and seemed to have the job of playing in Busquets’ position when Busquets was busy with defensive tasks. Xavi Hernandez tried to get forward (and should have scored in the first half when Messi slipped a good pass through the defence) but Iniesta, the midfielder starting highest up, very rarely got into dangerous positions himself, and should have been doing more to get in advance of Messi when the Argentine dropped deep.

Runs


Line-ups after Sanchez's introduction

It was hugely surprising that Guardiola waited until 69 minutes to change his side, even when taking into account Alexis Sanchez’s injury. As soon as Sanchez arrived on the pitch, he had an impact – not necessarily with the goal itself, which was a scrappy effort, but with his initial run from a central position towards the right (exactly the run he kept making against Real earlier in the season) which distracted the defence and allowed Messi to run with the ball to the left, from where the chance was created.

Barcelona needed more runs – both vertical runs from the midfield to play an active part in things, and lateral runs from the forward line to test the positioning of the Real defence. Until then, it was a quiet night for the Real Madrid centre-backs. Messi’s false nine positioning wasn’t a problem, because even when one centre-back was drawn out, no-one looked to exploit the space Messi had created, and the other centre-back could cover comfortably. The one exception was the Xavi chance, when four Real players were attracted to Messi. These situations needed to be created more often.

Real attacks

With defence almost taking care of itself, Real’s true excellence was in their attacking play. With 28% possession it didn’t come in huge bursts, yet they had six shots on target, double Barcelona’s total. They didn’t need a player in the role Ramires played against Barcelona on Wednesday (tracking the full-back, then bursting past him), because Barcelona weren’t playing any full-backs. Instead, their breaks were more about interplay, like their goal in Munich, and they got four players in positions where they could break forward. Even when Busquets became a defender, Real could often attack four versus four, and Ozil was able to float laterally to pick up the ball and orchestrate these moves.
Counter-attacking is one way Barcelona can be exploited. Their other major problem is from set-pieces, and although their weakness in these situations is often overstated (they usually defend zonally very well), when they’re without Pique the problem is more severe. Eric Abidal would also help in these situations, as would Seydou Keita. Real were an obvious threat from corners and went ahead from their first, but they did well to simply win them in the first place – seven, compared to Barcelona’s four. It probably wasn’t a deliberate strategy, but it’s rare that an away side has so many corners at the Nou Camp.

Subs

Mourinho’s was delighted with the shape of his side, and basically only made straight swaps – the one exception was the introduction of central midfielder Esteban Granero for Di Maria, meaning Ozil went right, into the position he’d just created Ronaldo’s goal from anyway.

Guardiola made three switches. First there was Sanchez on for Xavi – he went upfront and Messi dropped deeper, more of a clear 3-3-1-3. Then Pedro replaced Adriano – a very attacking move in theory, but Alves retreated into the back three and Puyol swapped sides. Pedro offered a little more than Alves, who remains better at bombing forward rather than starting as a forward. Finally, Cesc Fabregas came on for Tello – Iniesta went into the forward three, but by this point Barcelona seemed to have lost belief.

Conclusion

Real would have celebrated a draw like it was a win – as Guardiola admitted before the game, a draw would have meant the end of Barcelona’s title hopes. But the symbolic importance of the Real victory shouldn’t be overlooked. Had Real won the title yet still failed to overcome Barcelona, they would have faced accusations they were simply better at swatting aside minnows, rather than a better team than Barcelona in direct confrontations. This result means there is no doubt – in this game, and in this season, Real were the more efficient side.

Their winning goal summed up what they have done so well all season – they broke quickly, directly and got Ronaldo into goalscoring positions despite him starting on the left. It was also reminiscent of the goal away in Valencia, which showed their ability on the counter-attack better than any other goal they’ve scored this season.

That directness was badly missing from Barcelona’s play, as was the integrated movement that has been so important in their attacking play under Guardiola. Here they were too dependent on Messi, and offered him very little support.
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962#
发表于 2012-5-3 23:39:23 | 只看该作者
961楼参考译文
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963#
发表于 2012-5-3 23:41:30 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 pedro 于 2012-5-3 23:42 编辑

How the 2000s changed tactics #1: The fall and rise of the passing midfielder

April 24, 2012

This article was originally written two years ago, but in the wake of Pep Guardiola’s departure from Barcelona, it seems appropriate to re-publish.

Gabriele Macotti's original article

In 2004, Gabriele Marcotti wrote an article for The Times about Barcelona legend Pep Guardiola. It wasn’t a celebratory piece looking back at Guardiola’s fine career, nor remarking on his ability to defy the critics and keep playing at a high standard, like Paolo Maldini. It was about how, in 2004-spec football, Guardiola was useless. That is not to say that he no longer had talent. A physically unremarkable player, his domain was sitting front of his own defence and spraying passes across the pitch for his more illustrious teammates – Michael Laudrup, Hristo Stoichkov and Romario being amongst the biggest names to have benefited from his presence. When Marcotti wrote the article, at 33, Guardiola should have been at his peak.

But the reality was that nobody wanted him. In the early 2000s, Europe was tactically obsessed with two types of players in the centre – tough-tackling defensive midfielders, and classic Number 10 creators. Most big sides followed this destroyer-creator model, like Davids-Zidane at Juventus. And therefore, for the deep-lying playmaker like Guardiola, there was nowhere to go.

To quote Marcotti from that original article:

“His midfield skills have become obselete…the modern game has closed the door on players like Guardiola…despite being in the best shape of his career, there is no place for him…that the thoughtful, intricate passing patterns of players like Guardiola are lost to younger fans is somewhat depressing.”

And quotes from Guardiola himself:

“I haven’t changed…my skills haven’t declined. It’s just that football now is different. It’s played at a higher pace and it’s a lot more physical. The tactics are different now, you have to be a ball-winner, a tackler, like Patrick Vieira or Edgar Davids. If you can pass too, well, that’s a bonus. But the emphasis, as far as central midfielders are concerned, is all on defensive work…players like me have become extinct.”


Guardiola whilst Barcelona captain

That was in 2004. And now – in 2010, the current European Champions at club level are led by one Pep Guardiola, who has instilled his very playing style into Barcelona. This season he has regularly played with three Guardiola-esque players in the centre of his midfield – Xavi Hernandez, Andres Iniesta and Sergio Busquets. Xavi and Iniesta also combined to make Spain the European Champions at international level. Just six years after Guardiola’s mentality was considered dead, it is now the way to play football.

It is remarkable that so much can change in such a short space of time. The biggest factor in the re-emergence of Guardiola-esque players was probably the shift away from 4-4-2 systems in the mid 2000s, towards 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 systems, both of which broadly feature three central midfielders. This meant that there was an extra midfield place available, and the destroyer-creator model was altered to include a ‘passer’ inbetween. Hence Liverpool’s brilliant near-title winning trio of Mascherano (destroyer) Alonso (passer) Gerrard (creator), for example.

But perhaps there has been a further shift – the mid 2000s obsession with deploying a player in the ‘Makelele role’ largely led to the decline of the creator as a traditional number 10 (as he was marked out of the game) – and that in turn caused the lessening importance of the Makelele role itself (since he then had no-one to mark). Therefore, the ‘creator’ now plays a deeper, more methodical passing game – hence Cesc Fabregas or Andres Iniesta playing as players at the head of a midfield three – whilst the ‘holding’ midfielder has also moved away from being a tackler, to becoming a passer himself – with Busquets and Michael Carrick amongst the beneficiaries. And suddenly, the midfield battle is not about being ‘physical’ or ‘ball-winning’ – it is all about passing, as epitomised by the current Barcelona sides.


Guardiola instructs his successor, Xavi Hernandez

Of course, we should not fall into the trap of thinking that this type of player is a purely a Barcelona creation. There are other ball-playing midfielders across Europe who have been successful; Andrea Pirlo is the obvious example, but even in Marcotti’s article, Guardiola acknowledged that Pirlo’s role was possible at Milan as they played ‘a different brand of football‘. David Pizarro at Roma is another – but again, Roma have played a highly unconventional system in recent years. Pizarro struggled at Inter when in a standard 4-4-2; maybe we can deduce that the ball-playing midfielder only found favour in unusual formations for much of the decade.

Nor should one infer that Guardiola created Xavi and Iniesta – they were already established at the club. But it is widely acknowledged that they were hugely inspired by Guardiola as youngsters, and they were not always fixtures in the Barcelona side under Frank Rijkaard – in their previous Champions League triumph in 2006, both started the final on the bench as Barcelona fielded two holding midfielders.

So despite what everybody expected at the turn of the century, power has not defeated trickery – in fact, the opposite has occurred - technical quality is more important than ever. Re-read those quotes from Guardiola again, and the description seems like a different world. And so whilst redundant as a player six years ago, Guardiola’s philosophy is now the toast of Europe as a manager.

When Guardiola took over as Barcelona manager, he was just 37 years of age. As mentioned earlier, his physical attributes were never his selling point (whilst his consummate professionalism means he would have kept himself in good shape), and his passing ability would have remained. Therefore, it’s not unreasonable to suggest that the 37-year-old Guardiola probably still could have done a decent job many La Liga or Serie A midfields. His career may have been curtailed prematurely, but how wonderful that this allowed him to entrench his philosophy upon modern football so soon.

And therefore the most fascinating aspect of football tactics in the 2000s was the fall – and rise – of Guardiolaism.
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本帖最后由 pedro 于 2012-5-3 23:51 编辑

Barcelona 2-2 Chelsea: Chelsea do an Inter 2010
April 25, 2012



The starting line-ups

Chelsea produced an astonishing defensive display – and still created chances – to progress to the Champions League final.

Pep Guardiola made the surprising decision to drop Daniel Alves, bringing back Gerard Pique in defence. Isaac Cuenca was fielded on the wing, and Cesc Fabregas in an attacking central midfield role.

Roberto Di Matteo named an unchanged XI from the side that won 1-0 in the first leg, and set out in the same shape.
There were two first half substitutions due to injury, however – Gary Cahill went off and was replaced by Jose Bosingwa, with Branislav Ivanovic moving into the middle. Gerard Pique also had to depart, with Alves back in the side and Javier Mascherano moving to the centre of the back three.

Where to start? Like in the first leg, Chelsea had to rely on Barcelona squandering some very presentable chances, but their overall display at the back was excellent.

Barcelona formation

Barcelona’s shape was something like a 3-3-1-3, with Lionel Messi playing as the number ten. Cuenca was used on the right to stretch the play, a reaction to the first leg, when Barcelona lacked true width. He often lost the ball when attempting to dribble past his full-back, though he did provide the assist for Sergio Busquets’ first goal, which came from him staying wide following a corner – in that respect, he did his job OK.

Alexis Sanchez was used through the middle, where he had an instant impact against Real Madrid at the weekend. He combined with Messi early on, and although Messi didn’t have a particularly good game here, at least the Chelsea centre-backs were being distracted by the clever runs of Sanchez, and Messi was getting into good positions on their blind side. Sanchez was also clearly troubling John Terry, shown by his red card.

Chelsea shape

The major effect of Barcelona’s switch to a 3-4-3 was that Chelsea could be even narrower than in the first leg when the ball was in the centre of the pitch, and make a very tight unit that Barcelona found it difficult to play through. Ramires, who had spent the first game running up and down the line with Dani Alves, now had no full-back to track and could tuck in as an extra midfielder, while Juan Mata did the same on the other side. There were also even greater opportunities to break down the line into space – Ramires and Ashley Cole did that in the first minute, but afterwards Chelsea struggled for an out-ball.



Instead, Petr Cech thumped the ball down the pitch for Drogba to chase – an approach that almost worked in the first leg, and threatened a couple of times here, perhaps most obviously when Victor Valdes came out and clattered into Drogba and Pique.

11 v 10

Terry’s red card (in Inter 2010 terms, the Thiago Motta moment) changed things. Di Matteo’s initial reaction was to bring Bosingwa inside along with Ivanovic , and move Ramires to right-back. Chelsea were now 4-4-1, the most common way to play with ten men. But because their approach until then had been to defend with 4+5, they now looked uncomfortable defending with 4+4, even if they’ve been playing that way in the league. The away side were disorganised in the minutes leading up to half-time, and Andres Iniesta’s goal came when the midfield had no shape.
However, Ramires broke down the flank brilliantly for a crucial goal on the stroke of half-time. Ramires had created the goal for Drogba at the same point in the first leg with a similarly-inspired counter-attack, and just as that goal allowed Chelsea to sit back and defend at Stamford Bridge in the second half, they could do the same here.

Second half

When Di Matteo got the players in the dressing room at half-time, he essentially switched back to the way Chelsea had been playing until the red card, defending 4+5, with Drogba out wide on the left – just as Diego Milito had filled in on the flank for Inter in 2010. Therefore, the way Chelsea defended wasn’t actually any different from how they’d started the game…although since they had no striker and no-one to hold up the ball, they had to do much more of it.
They also had players out of position, and the man they may have worried about, Bosingwa, did a fine job in the centre of defence. It’s been discussed before that sides are better off with quick, nippy full-backs in central positions against Messi, rather than lumbering, physical centre-backs. Bosingwa’s job was about tracking and tackling rather than heading the ball clear – Barcelona barely crossed in the air, and Bosingwa wasn’t exposed.


Rough second half positions (same image, different labelling for either side)

Guardiola had changed system for the second half, moving Iniesta inside, bringing Cuenca to the left and telling Alves to push on down the right. Guardiola was trying the classic strategy against ten men – make the pitch as wide as possible. Chelsea adapted by playing wider in midfield – now, rather than the wide players moving very centrally without the ball, they stayed towards the edges of the penalty area. This worked excellently – they never allowed their whole team to be sucked to one side, and Barcelona never had a player on the overlap in a considerable amount of space. Drogba conceded a penalty, of course, but at least he was helping out defensively.

Chances?

The penalty was obviously crucial to the game, and like in the first leg, Chelsea had to rely on poor finishing. There were some who said Chelsea’s approach at Stamford Bridge wasn’t particularly effective because Barcelona had chances, but any strategy against Barcelona will always allow them some opportunities – they’re too good to be kept at bay for 90 minutes.

The key was that Chelsea limited the number of chances they had in the first leg to a reasonable number – around five, at a rough count. That is an acceptable figure against Barcelona – on a bad day you might concede five, but Barcelona do waste chances, so you’re giving yourself some hope.

Again, with a non-scientific counting system, Messi’s penalty was Barcelona’s fifth clear chance of the game. Thereafter, they barely created anything, with long-range efforts and half-chances their only sights of goal.

Barcelona problems

Barcelona had two main issues in the second half. First, they had too many defensive players on the pitch – Javier Mascherano and Carles Puyol as centre-backs, and Sergio Busquets as a holding midfielder. Chelsea were breaking, but when Barcelona had the ball (which was the vast majority of the second half), they had 3 v 0 at the back. Mascherano could have been sacrificed, Busquets could have played his half-and-half role, and still could have played the first pass into the final third. (It’s also worth asking whether playing a back three at the start, comprised of pure defenders rather than Alves or Adriano as half-defenders, was a wise move against a side only playing one striker.)

The second issue was exactly the problem they faced against Inter two years ago – they had no plan B, in the shape of a static central target man to find, either in the air or for some hold-up play. In fact, they had even less of a plan B. Two years ago, Guardiola’s mistake was that he played his plan B as his plan A – Zlatan Ibrahimovic started the game when Inter were playing quite high up, then had been removed by the time Barcelona realised they needed a central striker. At least in that game Barcelona could push Gerard Pique upfront to be their number nine, and although they didn’t turn the tie around, Pique scored a brilliant consolation goal.

Ibrahimovic has been sold, and Pique had gone off injured. Barcelona didn’t have anyone they could look to here, which was probably why Seydou Keita was brought on for Cesc Fabregas, despite the fact Keita is naturally a more defensive player. Admittedly, Keita had little impact (and again, Guardiola could have sacrificed a more defensive player), but the move made some sense.

By this stage Barcelona’s positions had ceased to exist, but the roles were still fairly obvious – three defensive players, Xavi orchestrating from deep, Cristian Tello (on for Cuenca) and Alves on the flanks, then Keita, Iniesta, Messi and Sanchez in and around the box.

Chelsea hang on…

Chelsea continued to be extremely tight in the centre – Lampard, Meireles and Mikel were unmoved despite the tactical changes, and replicated their approach from the first leg. All three stayed central, and when Xavi got on the ball and looked for forward pass, one player often came out to casually close him down – not really attempting to win the ball, but forcing him to play out to the flanks rather than a more incisive ball. Mikel again found himself ahead of Lampard and Meireles when doing this.

The one difference from the Inter strategy was that Chelsea didn’t immediately drop back to the penalty box – in fact, when Barcelona built moves from their own penalty box, Chelsea stayed quite high. It was surprising that Barcelona didn’t seek to play forward more quickly here – their passes were slow and predictable in deep positions, when they really needed to hit Chelsea when their defence was off-balance up the pitch. Barcelona also failed with the majority of attempted dribbles.



…and pounce

Chelsea, remarkably, still managed to offer a goal threat. Drogba was superb and won a corner (something Real Madrid did well at the weekend), from which Ivanovic should have scored. Kalou replaced Mata and found himself through on goal, but wasted the chance.

Fernando Torres replaced Drogba late on, and was the hero with a late goal. There was absolutely no natural logic to this – Torres had been far less effective than Drogba on the left, failing to track his man and giving the ball away. In fact, he only found himself through on goal because of a failed dribble that meant he was out of position – Barcelona, having thrown everything forward in the final minutes, were now literally in a 0-5-5 formation at that point.



But in a way it was fitting – the goal came from a hoof downfield from the Chelsea penalty area to the number nine. That was the approach they started with at Stamford Bridge – when Drogba failed to control a punt from Cech when through on goal – and that was the way they sealed the tie.

Conclusion

In Monday’s press conference, Petr Cech was asked if he’d been on the phone to Jose Mourinho, asking for tips about how to beat Barcelona. The question was referring to Saturday’s 2-1 win for Real Madrid, of course, but more appropriate was Mourinho’s triumph two years ago. The situation was almost identical – semi-final second leg, early red card, strikers playing on the flank, ultra-defensive. When two sides have completely different approaches yet contest a close match, it makes for a brilliant spectacle.

Barcelona have won the Champions League twice under Guardiola in similar circumstances (two-goal victories over Manchester United), they’ve now been eliminated twice in similar circumstances (failing to break down a side parking the bus at the Nou Camp). However, it’s worth pointing out that they lost the tie in the first leg as much as in the second, and probably had their better chances at Stamford Bridge. They also failed to score an away goal, which meant Chelsea had a significant advantage after Ramires’ goal.

With many star performers over the two legs it feels unfair to pick out a single player, but Ramires is the ideal player for playing against Barcelona. He is mobile, hard-working and energetic without the ball, but also breaks directly when possession is won. He looks forward, and breaks past Barcelona’s first press. His superb finish was a nice bonus.

The final conclusion is to reiterate a point made last week – the Champions League semi-finals consistently produce the most intriguing, unpredictable games in modern football, and its most memorable moments.
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本帖最后由 pedro 于 2012-5-3 23:58 编辑

Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern Munich: Bayern through on penalties

April 25, 2012


The starting line-ups

Bayern Munich will face Chelsea in the final, after overcoming Real Madrid at the Bernabeu.

Jose Mourinho made one change from the first leg – at left-back, where Fabio Coentrao was left out after a difficult game in Munich, and Marcelo came in.

Jupp Heynckes kept the same team from the first leg, in roughly the same formation.

This game started brilliantly, but became increasingly cautious and then needed penalties to settle it. It was a very odd game with no overall pattern, so rather than the usual match overview, here’s ten disparate points:

1. Lack of shape

The start of this game was bizarrely open, with neither side retreating into a good defensive shape and none of the midfielders looking to put their foot on the ball and slow the tempo. Therefore, the game was like a basketball match, flowing from end to end with no breaks between attacks. The main culprits were the wingers – Angel Di Maria and Cristiano Ronaldo were told to watch the opposition full-backs rather than get back and help their full-backs deal with the Bayern wingers, (though Mesut Ozil eventually drifted back onto Luiz Gustavo to help out in the centre). Similarly, Arjen Robben stayed high up the pitch, and for Ronaldo’s second goal – the only goal of the night from open play – he was on the other flank, leaving Philipp Lahm 1 v 2 against Ronaldo and Marcelo – Lahm made a wrong move out to Marcelo and left Ronaldo free.

2. Half-time changes

No substitutions, but a complete change in mentality. At 2-1, and with the game evenly-balanced, both coaches probably said the same thing to their players at half time: defend deeper, get more men behind the ball, and exploit the weaknesses of the opposition on the break. Unfortunately, since both sides did this at the same time, we were left with a lifeless, slow game. Three goals in the opening 45 minutes were followed by none in the final 75, when there was little creativity on show, primarily because the attacking players were getting less space – as a result of their opposite numbers helping out more at the back. This applied in particular on the wings, where these players became increasingly disciplined but having little energy to break.

3. Kroos control

Like in the first game, Toni Kroos was the key player here. He interpreted his ‘free’ role very nicely, moving back into the midfield to make a 3 v 2 when Ozil was still high up, and helped bypass the two Real holding players. Then, he moved forward and provided balls from between the lines and out wide, from where he created more chances than any other player. His final pass wasn’t always accurate, but the simple intelligence of his positioning – both providing numerical supremacy in the centre and a creative spark in the final third – meant he was very useful to Bayern, and it was again the correct decision from Heynckes to start him rather than Thomas Muller.



4. Gomez deep

Mario Gomez’s link-up play was good – he dropped deep away from Sergio Ramos and Pepe, contributing to build-up play and encouraging Robben and Franck Ribery to make runs past him, towards goal. Ramos and Pepe generally stayed in position and let him drop deep unattended. However, it was Gomez’s traditional job, as a poacher, that he didn’t do so well – he missed the best chance of the game at 2-1.

5. Di Maria v Alaba

The most obvious ball-playing tactic was from Real Madrid, who kept Di Maria wide, told Xabi Alonso to launch the ball out to him, and the Argentina isolated David Alaba 1 v1. The left-back had enjoyed a good game in the first leg, but did look nervous here. The early penalty came from this approach (although the pass out to Di Maria was from Marcelo, and Alaba can hardly be blamed for conceding the penalty).



6. Dribbles

Bayern conceded possession too cheaply when their wide players dribbled forward with the ball, which was particularly surprising as they often managed to isolate their opponents in 1 v 1 situations.



7. No natural wingers

Part of the problem with the wide players was their perennial desire to come inside into the centre of the pitch, where the holding players could provide cover. This was a problem for both sides – Robben and Ribery came into the middle, Ronaldo stayed up and cut onto his right foot, while Di Maria drifted infield to see more of the ball. Aside from a very brief spell from Robben on the left – from where he created that chance for Gomez – there was no-one stretching the play. Mourinho’s decision to use central players from the bench (Esteban Granero, Kaka, Gonzalo Higuain) rather than speedy winger Jose Callejon was a big surprise.

8. Status Quo

On that note, neither coach really made any significant tactical changes. Everything was roughly like-for-like. Consequently, after things were calmed down at half-time, the game never really progressed tactically.

9. Fouls

Bayern committed over twice as many fouls as Real Madrid, despite enjoying 55% of possession. Luiz Gustavo managed to commit nine fouls before he was shown a yellow card – the majority of fouls were in non-threatening positions, often tactical, and helped to break up Real’s rhythm – d although it did allow Ronaldo a couple of free-kick opportunities.



10. Coin toss?

Bayern went first in the penalty shoot-out. As outlined in the book Soccernomics, the side taking the first penalty wins 60% of shoot-outs.

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本帖最后由 Alex2011 于 2012-5-4 00:07 编辑

Athletic Bilbao’s movement v Sporting
April 26, 2012


The starting line-ups

Athletic Bilbao are through to the Europa League final after a 3-1 second leg victory over Sporting Lisbon at the San Mames.

As is typical of Marcelo Bielsa sides, Athletic dominated possession and spent much of the time in the opposition third of the pitch, but didn’t convert their goalscoring opportunities well enough. On the balance of play, it was crazy that they needed to wait until a couple of minutes before full-time for the crucial goal, scored by Fernando Llorente – they should have had the game wrapped up at an earlier stage. In fairness, they went cautious after half-time as they were in an identical position to Real Madrid the night before – having lost the first leg 2-1, they were 2-1 up. The tie was even on both goals and away goals. If Athletic had scored a goal it would have been worth one – if they’d conceded one, it would have effectively been worth one and a half. Were it not for that, they probably would have attacked with more intent.

That said, credit should go to Sporting coach Ricardo Sa Pinto for a clever change at half-time – he took off Mati Fernandez, his number ten, and brought on Daniel Carrico as an additional central midfielder. That meant Andre Martins moving forward to the top of the triangle, though the midfield was now more compact and less vulnerable to Athletic’s movement.

That movement was the key feature of the game, and was as good as it’s been for Athletic all season. ZM has written on Athletic in general terms before (see here, here and here), so instead, this is a look at eight different types of movement they do very well within their system, to get players into space.

Movement 1


Without the ball, Sporting used Mati Fernandez and Ricky van Wolfswinkel together on the halfway line, stopping the Athletic players coming forward with the ball. There was a particular effort to stop Javi Martinez moving forward, since he is particularly good at playing the first pass forward into the attackers, and there was one moment in the first half when Martinez got caught in possession when trying to dribble the ball forward, leaving Athletic exposed to a quick attack.

Therefore, Ander Iturraspe simply dropped into the defence, turning Athletic into a back three, allowing the two centre-backs to spread, and then both Martinez and Fernando Amorebieta could move forward and hit long diagonals towards Llorente.

Movement 2


The second movement also involved Iturraspe, who was the game’s key player positionally – dropping deep to create supremacy and then charging forward into the attack to play key passes. In that respect, he did something similar to Toni Kroos at the Bernabeu, albeit in a deeper role. His job was also similar to the way Alex Song plays at Arsenal.

Sa Pinto told his two holding midfielders, Stijn Schaars and Martins, to stick very deep to Ander Herrera and Iker Muniain, practically man-marking them. This was a problem when Herrera and Muniain dropped into deeper or wider positions – the midfield became opened up for Iturraspe to storm through. With Fernandez and van Wolfswinkel watching the centre-backs, he went forward untracked.

Movement 3


This also involved Herrera and Muniain moving deep – but this time, it created space for Andoni Iraola and Jon Aurtenetxe to cut into, from the full-back positions. This was particularly the case for Iraola, who was up against Diego Capel, the less solid defensively of Sporting’s wingers – and he made this movement in the build-up to the second Athletic goal, scored by Ibai Gomez.

The diagonal run from full-backs was also common in Bielsa’s Chile side.

Movement 4


Another way to exploit the space in behind the holders – the movement in that zone was the most important part of the tactical battle. With Schaars and Martins moving up high, Athletic’s wide players could narrow and work the ‘red zone’ in front of the defence.

Movement 5


With Muniain deployed in the centre as a ‘central winger’, rather than out on the flanks, Athletic had more lateral movement from that position than if they’d used Munain on the wing and (the suspended) Oscar De Marcos as an attacking midfielder – he’s much more of a vertical player.

Therefore, Muniain (or Ibai or Susaeta, when they switched positions) could exploit the gaps between the Sporting centre-backs and full-backs, when the Athletic wingers moved wide and stretched the play. Then, Muniain would combine with one of the wingers and overload Sporting in wide zones, before crossing.

Movement 6


Essentially a combination of number five and number three – the Athletic wingers drag the Sporting full-backs wide, the full-backs cut in diagonally into that space.

Movement 7


This is where Llorente became involved – although he often drifted into the channels for long balls from the back, he also dropped deep. This was evident for that Ibai goal, when he moved towards the ball, picked it up, and slipped the ball into Ibai moving towards goal.

Movement 8


Equally, that situation could be replicated with Munain playing as a second striker, looking for knock-downs from Llorente, and to exploit the space created when Llorente pulled Anderson Polga out of the defence.
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本帖最后由 Alex2011 于 2012-5-4 00:11 编辑

Manchester City 1-0 Manchester United: City work the ball down right, United fail to test Hart

May 1, 2012


The starting line-ups

Vincent Kompany’s header won the game – and City returned to the top of the league.

As expected, Roberto Mancini named an unchanged XI. That meant Pablo Zabaleta continuing at right-back, and Samir Nasri starting wide in midfield.

Sir Alex Ferguson switched formation to a 4-5-1 with Wayne Rooney upfront alone. Ryan Giggs and Park Ji-Sung were given starts in in midfield, while Nani was used rather than Antonio Valencia on the right. Jonny Evans was ill and Rafael was dropped, so Chris Smalling and Phil Jones were at the back.

This was evidently a completely different type of game from the 6-1 earlier in the season – it was low on technical quality, but high on tension.

Opening blows

City’s formation was predictable, but United’s was more interesting. Ferguson decided to use Park Ji-Sung high up the pitch in a central zone, tracking Yaya Toure, while Ryan Giggs was fielded in a narrow left-sided position. Nani was high up the pitch against Gael Clichy – with Ferguson probably trying to recreate Nani’s excellent performance against Clichy at the Emirates two seasons ago, the game which effectively kick-started Nani’s United career.

With that shape, United seemed to be set up to counter-attack. But they weren’t overwhelmingly reactive – rather than immediately sitting deep, they started by pressing high up the pitch. Whether this was a deliberate strategy or simply early enthusiasm is difficult to say, but it meant the first ten minutes saw plenty of stray passes from both sides, and neither gaining control.

In fact, the game took a while to settle down – both sides looked nervous, and there was a particular lack of quality when midfielders tried to play the ball into the feet of attackers. There was no real rhythm to the game, with neither City cranking the tempo up, nor United controlling the game with patient passing in the centre of midfield.

United tactics

The only goal came from a set-piece, but United didn’t compete well in open play. The first problem was clear: using Park in a central position was disastrous. He didn’t appear fully fit, which is particularly problematic considering his main assets: stamina, energy and work rate. His brief was to nullify the threat of Yaya Toure, but this failed miserably: Toure completed more passes than any other player in the first half, illustrating his influence on the game.

Park has done a good job in this position when up against static deep-lying playmakers (particularly Andrea Pirlo), but Toure is a much more mobile, vertical player. When City had the ball, Park tried to stay goalside of Toure, but this caused a large gap between Park and Wayne Rooney when United regained possession. Rooney became isolated, and United’s transitions were poor – when they play well on the break, the first pass out of defence is usually ambitious and incisive, but here the clearances were rushed.

Centre-backs v centre-forwards

City knew that United’s intention was to play the ball Rooney, get him to come deep and lay the ball off to Nani or Park, and then those three would counter directly. Again, that’s what United did so well in that win at the Emirates two years ago, with Rooney perfecting the false nine position.

Vincent Kompany always has the same strategy against Rooney, though – he’s very brave with his positioning, doesn’t give Rooney any time on the ball, and Rooney becomes frustrated. He can’t hold up play, and his sideways passes out to the flanks become rushed and overhit. Even when Kompany was booked for a tackle on Rooney (which was harsh, but seemed inevitable considering the Belgian’s high-pressure approach), he continued to come out of the defence and chip away at Rooney – although Joleon Lescott played more of an active role after the yellow card.

At the other end, United were also defending successfully against City’s centre-forwards, although the away side didn’t have a spare man, and therefore the situation was slightly different. They didn’t use a specific man goalside of Carlos Tevez, but instead told Michael Carrick to sit deep, squeezing the space between the lines. When Sergio Aguero came towards the ball he was usually tracked by Rio Ferdinand, which meant Smalling became the covering defender.

Key battle



The key battle was down City’s right. This stemmed from Giggs’ narrow positioning, a move intended to help United compete in the centre of the pitch with a lopsided diamond. Interestingly, this is exactly the same system that United used in the 3-2 win over Milan at the San Siro two years ago – the game when Park did such a fine job on Pirlo. In addition to Park at the top of the diamond, Rooney was upfront alone, Nani was wide-right, Carrick at the base of the diamond, Scholes right-of-centre. The only difference was that United had Darren Fletcher playing the shuttling left-sided role that day – here, they had Ryan Giggs.

Giggs doesn’t possess as much mobility as Fletcher. United broadly coped in the centre of the pitch (they had less possession, but this probably wasn’t a battle they were focused on winning, and they were happy to prevent City playing incisive passes through the middle) but were significantly overrun in the left-back zone. Zabaleta had acres of space ahead of him, and could move forward to combine well with Nasri. Sometimes there was a 2 v 1 situation against Evra, other times Nasri could move inside and break through the United defence once Evra had become concerned with Zabaleta.

The diagram of passes into the final third in the first half shows how often City played out to this flank. Before half-time, the two men who played the most passes in the final third were Nasri (18) and Zabaleta (13). The goal, while arriving from a set-piece, came from two corners forced after the Nasri-Zabaleta combination near the by-line.

Neither side defended corners well – City had switched off twice in the first half and allowed United to play short corners. Interestingly, though, City’s goal was the only one of their 26 crosses that found the intended target (summing up the aerial limitations of their attackers).

Second half

Surprisingly, Ferguson made no immediate changes, waiting until the 58th minute. That seemed like a waste of 13 minutes, although perhaps Ferguson was focusing on not conceding a quick second.

Instead, the only change came from Mancini. Silva and Nasri switched sides – odd, considering how well Nasri and Zabaleta had linked up. Perhaps Mancini wanted to let Silva (the better player) enjoy that space on the wing, but then Zabaleta was also told to stay in a more defensive position in the second half.



That meant the only interesting zone from the first half was no longer crucial. Furthermore, since United completely failed to get back into the game (not recording a single shot on target), the tactical battle in the second half was hardly game-changing.

However, that’s because of the way the substitutions happened. Each time Ferguson changed his side, Mancini responded in the same area of the pitch.

First subs

First, Ferguson went for the obvious move – Park off, Danny Welbeck on upfront, and United moving to their usual 4-4-1-1. Rooney dropped deeper to become the number ten, and now Kompany and Lescott couldn’t move up towards Rooney and still keep a spare man behind, as they had Welbeck to deal with. Instead, Gareth Barry dropped onto Rooney and City retained 2 v 1 against Welbeck.

This wasn’t ideal for City, though – Barry was playing very deep and letting United have control of the midfield. Therefore, Mancini responded by introducing Nigel De Jong for Tevez, and City moved to more of a 4-5-1 system, with De Jong as a holding player on Rooney.

Second subs

Ferguson’s next move was Antonio Valencia for Scholes, with Nani switching to the left and Giggs into the middle. Valencia played in his usual right-wing position.

Mancini was obviously nervous about the threat of Valencia, and went to great lengths to make his defence more secure down that side. Micah Richards replaced David Silva and became the right-sided centre-back, which meant Kompany shuffling across slightly, Lescott becoming a left-centre-back/left-back, and Clichy becoming a left-back/left-wing-back. Clichy stuck tight to Valencia, and Lescott offered support behind.

Third subs

Finally, Ferguson made a straight swap – Ashley Young on for Nani down the left.

Mancini didn’t respond to this until stoppage time – but then, he saw Nasri was slow retreating from an attack, leaving Young in space to pick up the ball. Therefore, Nasri was withdrawn and James Milner protected Zabaleta for the final few minutes.

Each time, Ferguson tried to get a player into space – then Mancini responded by shutting down the space. Since City didn’t concede a single shot on target, even with United trailing for 45 minutes, Mancini’s improvisation deserve praise.

Conclusion

United might not have lost if they’d defended that corner better – but their system still wouldn’t have done the intended job. Park didn’t take Toure out of the game, while Giggs’ narrowness meant Zabaleta and Nasri were free to create overloads down the flank.

This might have been a very different game to the 1-6, but both matches were about City creating situations of numerical superiority in United’s full-back positions.

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-4 00:15:22 | 只看该作者
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本帖最后由 Alex2011 于 2012-5-4 00:30 编辑

England appoint Roy Hodgson
May 1, 2012


Hodgson winning the 2010 LMA Manager of the Year award

If the decision was between Harry Redknapp and Roy Hodgson, England were choosing between two very different coaches.

The debate should not have been about ‘experience at big clubs’ or ‘how much the players like him’, but about the style of coach required: in Redknapp and Hodgson, the FA were choosing between two men at complete opposite ends of the football coach’s ideological spectrum, the most stark contrast of managerial philosophies you can find.

Redknapp

Redknapp is all about individuals. He denies he’s a ‘wheeler-dealer’, and to imply that he is only a transfer specialist would be unfair; he clearly gets on with people (summed up by his relationships with both players and journalists) and is regarded as a good man-manager and motivator. Whether it is bringing them in or firing them up, Redknapp’s skill is that he gets the best from individuals.

His tactical ineptitude can be overstated – Redknapp is generally very good at making substitutions midway through a game, as he showed, for example, with a fantastic turnaround at Arsenal eighteen months ago – followed by a perfectly reasonable and rational explanation about why he made the changes.

Yet Redknapp’s sides retain a certain anarchy, epitomised by Tottenham’s win away at Norwich late last year, when Redknapp told Gareth Bale and Rafael van der Vaart they could “play where they wanted to”. In that game it worked, as Bale scored two fine goals in a man-of-the-match performance. “He gets in those holes, and when he gets the ball and runs at you, he’s unplayable,” Redknapp marvelled. Yet in recent weeks, Bale’s desire to roam has been indulged at the expense of shape and structure, and Tottenham have been in terrible form.

Van der Vaart is another who has enjoyed that freedom at Tottenham. “There are no long and boring speeches about tactics, like I was used to at Real Madrid,” he says. “There is a board in our dressing room but Harry doesn’t write anything on it. It’s not that we do nothing – but it’s close to that.”

How much does Redknapp value the system? He’s perfectly honest about it. “Whether it’s 4-4-2, 4-2-3-1, 4-3-3 – the numbers game is no the beautiful game in my opinion,” Redknapp once said. “It is 10% about the formation and 90% about the players.”

Hodgson

Hodgson is the complete opposite, the ultimate ‘system’ manager. His teams are very simple – they defend the same way, with two banks of four supplemented with two outright attackers – either two forwards or a lone striker supported by a number ten. Whereas Redknapp employs an army of coaches to do his work on the training ground, Hodgson personally drills his players relentlessly in training so they’re completely at home with the zonal defensive system, going through the same exercises again and again.

“We work on it every day,” Simon Davies, who played under Hodgson at Fulham, told Jonathan Wilson. “Every day in training is geared towards team shape on the match-day coming up. I’ve been working with the manager three years now and every day is team shape, and it shows… I don’t want to give any secrets away, but he gets the 11 that he wants on a match-day and he drills everything in that he wants. It’s certain drills defensive, certain drills attacking, and we work very hard at it. There are no diagrams. It’s all on the pitch with the ball, nothing unopposed.”

Whereas Redknapp doesn’t care for formations, Hodgson is a member of UEFA’s technical study group and will tell you about 4-4-2 all day long:

“The back four gives you the best possibilities of covering the width of the pitch defensively, and it also gives you great options, in my opinion, to get the the full-backs forward…one can go forward and the other three can shuttle across and you’re still playing with three defenders. When you play with three defenders, you lose that possibility.

The other six players? One could discuss. There’s no doubt you need one forward…you need a point of reference…if you play with two of them, you have the added advantage that whoever receives the ball has someone in close support at all times, and if balls are going to be played forward, you’ve got someone to threat the back of the defence. If you take him (the second striker) out, the threat to the back of the defence has to come from the midfield, you need midfield players bursting forward. It’s interesting to play with two – though these days many teams are playing with them vertically, rather than alongside each other.

The central midfielders do an important job for you, they’re going to protect the back four, and they’re also going to be the catalysts for attacks. The wide players are the ones you’re looking for to use spaces.

With 4-4-2, you’ve got ‘twos’ all over the field. I would always be looking to find a team that can play with a back four. Amongst the front six there a lot more options.”

Decision

So which type of coach is needed? England are in a state of complete confusion. Going into a major tournament having appointed your coach a month beforehand is embarrassing enough. Then there is the problem that Wayne Rooney, the star attacking player, is suspended from the first two games. Jack Wilshere, assumed to be one of England’s key midfielders a year ago, will miss out through injury. A generation of very good individuals (though never remotely a cohesive unit) are now past their peak, while the next crop are not established enough to base a successful team around.

This complete failure to have any long-term project in place deserves first round elimination – an outcome that would have been regarded as ‘best for England in the long-run’, had they not consistently failed to learn lessons from previous failures.

Templates

All this should make even the most ardent England supporter realise that the team is currently a rank outsider. And the only way outsiders have overachieved in recent major international tournaments is by being defensive and functional. Uruguay won the 2011 Copa America in this fashion, and Zambia triumphed at this year’s Africa Cup of Nations with the lowest pass completion rate in the tournament, something also achieved by Greece in Euro 2004. Uruguay (again) and Ghana were the surprise performers at the 2010 World Cup, both being inherently reactive, defensive sides. It’s difficult to name a recent underdog that has overachieved by playing attractive football.

Only the best sides can contest international tournaments in an open, attractive style and succeed. For the Euros, this is probably limited to Spain, Germany and Holland. (Even they are more cautious than one might expect – this is a Spain side that won the World Cup scoring eight goals in seven games, while Germany who were thrilling in South Africa, but mainly on the counter-attack, and a Holland are considered one of the least ‘Dutch’ sides in history.) Those three can at least hope to play beautiful football. Everyone else must focus upon being well-drilled and rigid.

If a disciplined, organised style of play is perfect for leading an underdog into a major international tournament, there is only one choice. Hodgson’s successes have generally been with underdogs; the only problem anyone can have with his style of management suiting England’s situation this summer is if (a) they refuse to accept England are underdogs, or (b) they are frustrated at the confirmation of England’s status as underdogs.

(All this ignores long-term goals: granted, this is a major reason why England are currently in their current situation, but it’s difficult to see what long-term planning England can do between now and the Euros – regrouping after the summer is more logical. Talk of abandoning any attempt to compete at Euro 2012, in favour of a long-term approach looking forward to World Cup 2014, is a nice idea but assumes qualification and a reasonable idea of who would be in the side in two years’ time. Future international XIs are notoriously difficult to predict – predicting this year’s XI is difficult enough. In 2006 England took Theo Walcott to the World Cup, and though he didn’t play, he picked up ‘good tournament experience’, supposedly. This was totally useless when England didn’t qualify for Euro 2008 or when Walcott wasn’t deemed worthy of a place at World Cup 2010, and it was a wasted place in the 2006 tournament. To ‘do a Walcott’ with an entire squad would be suicidal.)

Caveats

There are two questions about Hodgson’s suitability. The first involves whether he’ll have enough time at international level implement his strict positioning correctly. This is a genuine issue – coaches who have had two years to prepare find it difficult, Hodgson only has a month. It will mean Hodgson’s style of football is probably even more boring than usual, as he would focus on defensive drills before planning any attacking moves. In that Davies interview quoted earlier, the Welshman finishes by saying, “We’re two-and-a-half years down the line now, so we’re all converted.” Hodgson does need time – when he arrived at Fulham, the team started poorly before a sharp recovery.

The second question is whether England’s players would respect Hodgson and be willing to follow his instructions. This is a problem for any England coach, though: Fabio Capello was ‘too distant’, Steve McClaren was ‘too chummy’. Hodgson isn’t stupid, and will be able to work out which type of players will be on board – he must be brave enough not to select anyone he believes will be a significant problem.

Conclusion

The point here is not that England have no chance of winning the tournament – it’s that they had no chance of winning the tournament by playing the anarchic football favoured by Redknapp. The type of football Hodgson offers is, in theory, the type of football that will maximise England’s chances of getting out of the group. In the current state of confusion, that must be regarded as a sensible target - although if Hodgson states this or voices satisfaction when this target is reached, he will be slaughtered for lowering expectations.

England must attempt to win the tournament; the chances are extremely slim, but have marginally increased with this appointment. England don’t have good enough players to be open and indulge individuals, and therefore Hodgson’s system-first approach makes sense.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-4 00:30:34 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 Alex2011 于 2012-5-7 11:16 编辑

973楼参考译文
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英格兰为何选择霍奇森?

2012-05-05 / kimwong888


霍奇森在2010年当选英格兰联赛主教练协会年度最佳主帅

如果是哈里-雷德克纳普与罗伊-霍奇森之间二选一,那么英格兰就是要在两名风格回异的主教练当中作出抉择。

争论的焦点不在于“大球会的执教经验”和“球员是否喜欢他”,而是到底需要什么样的执教风格:英格兰足协属意的热门人选雷德克纳普及霍奇森分别位于足球理念光谱的两极,你可以在他们身上找到最鲜明的执教思想差异。

雷德克纳普

雷德克纳普强调个人,他否认自己谋略家,并暗示如果说他只是一位转会专家并不公平。他与人们打成一片(包括球员和传媒),被视为一位擅长管理和激励士气的主教练。无论是收购球员抑或激励球员,雷德克纳普的技巧就是能把球员个人的能力发挥到极致。

说他战术不当有些夸张,雷德克纳普很擅长在比赛途中换人,例如18个月之前逆转阿森纳一战,而且他对比赛里换人决定的解释很合理。

不过他的球队在一定程度上显得混乱无序,这可以从去年年底热刺作客击败诺维奇一战中反映出来。雷德克纳普在那场比赛告诉加雷斯-贝尔及拉斐尔-范德法特可以“自由发挥”。两人在那场比赛中的表现确实收到奇效,贝尔打进了两球,并且成为了当场的最佳球员。“他找到了对手的缺口,当他带球冲刺的时候,是无人能敌的。”雷德克纳普惊呼道。不过在近几个星期里,沉醉于游戈的贝尔使球队的阵型和结构备受考验,而热刺的状态自然也不复当年勇。

范德法特是另一位在热刺享受自由体制的球员。“这里不像皇家马德里一样有冗长沉闷的战术演讲。”他说道,“我们的更衣室有一块白板,哈里没有写上任何东西。不是说我们什么都不做——但其实也差不了多少。”

雷德克纳普对体制有甚么评价?他倒是很老实地给出了他的意见。“依我看来,无论是4-4-2、4-2-3-1还是4-3-3,这些数字游戏都很乏味。”雷德克纳普曾经这样说道,“阵型只占10%,球员占90%。”

霍奇森

霍奇森的风格与雷德克纳普截然不同,他是那种极端的“体系”主教练。他所执教的球队打法简洁——防守方式一致,都是两行四人阵线,然后由名前锋或单箭头配10号球员组成攻击线。在训练场上,雷德克纳普会委托一群教练代劳,霍奇森则会亲自上阵去严格地督促球员,他们一次又一次地重复着相同的训练内容,对区域防守体制非常熟练。

“我们每天都是这样。”曾经在霍奇森执教的富勒姆效力过的西蒙-戴维斯说道,“每天的训练是为了即将到来的比赛而磨合队型,我已经跟了这位主教练三年了,每一天都是关于阵型,这说明……嗯,我不想把这秘诀说出来,总之他会把比赛日要首发的11人集合好,然后按照他所希望的样子来训练。不论是防守还是进攻的演练,我们都会竭尽全力。这里没有图解,只有在足球场上拿球面对对手。”

与雷德克纳普对阵型的毫不关心相对,霍奇森是欧洲足协技术研究小组的成员之一,他可以花一整天的时间跟你探讨4-4-2:

“从防守角度上,由四名球员组成的防线最有可能复盖著球场的宽度,这也可以给你更多的选择,以我个人的意见来看,让一名边后卫前插,其他三名防守球员可以来回穿梭进行防守,这样防线上仍然有三个人。如果防线本来就只有三人的话,就没有这种可能性了。
其他六名球员呢?这确实值得探讨。毫无疑问,你需要一名前锋作为前场的支点,如果是两名前锋,那么就会有额外的优势,当其中一名前锋接应传球的时 候,另一名前锋可以在附近呼应。如果皮球往前传送,前场也有球员去威胁对方的防线。如果只有单箭头,对对方防线的威胁必须由中场发动,你需要把中场球员推上去。虽然近来有许多球队让两名前锋前后排列来取代平行站位,但双箭头的打法总是很有趣。

中场中路球员的角色很重要,他们可以保护防线上的四名防守球员,并且是策动进攻的催化剂,边路球员则要负责对空间多加利用。
在4-4-2阵型里,全场都是“二人组合”。我喜欢球队的防线由四人组成,这样前面的六名球员的布阵将会有更多的选择。”

决定

那么英格兰到底需要哪种教练?国家队目前正处一片混乱,在大赛的一个月之前才任命主教练已经足够尴尬了,队中的攻击球星韦恩-鲁尼还因禁赛缺席首两场比赛,在一年前还被视为英格兰中场关键球员的杰克-威尔希尔受伤缺阵。黄金一代(虽然远远算不上是团结的团队)早已过了巅峰时期,新一代球员尚不足以组成一支成功的球队,青黄不接。

没有长期规划的球队应面临首轮出局的命运。如果他们持续不肯吸取教训,这个结果或会被视为“长远上来看是对英格兰国家队最好的”。

样板

在这种状况下,即使是最狂热的英格兰球迷也不得不承认他们是夺冠冷门。在近年的国际大赛上,表现能够超出预期的球队都奉行防守加实用性的打法。乌拉圭就是以这种方式夺得2011年美洲杯冠军,而赞比亚是本年非洲杯参赛球队当中传球成功率最低的,但却一举登顶。此外,2004年欧洲杯的希腊也是这样。2010年世界杯的乌拉圭及加纳都是防守流的代表,表现令人眼前一亮。要列举一队大打观赏性足球而又能令表现超出预期的弱队倒是很困难。

只有一流的球队才可以在国际赛事里以开放并具有观赏性的足球取得成功。在欧洲,仅限于西班牙、德国和荷兰。(不过他们的打法都比预期保守。西班牙在世界杯的七场赛事里仅取得八个进球;德国在南非的表现令人振奋,但也是以防守反击的打法为主,而出战南非的荷兰被认为是史上最没有“荷兰”风格的一支。)。这三支球队至少有希望能打出漂亮足球,而其他球队必须专注于打造训练有素、严谨慎密的团队。

如果纪律性强、组织良好是一支冷门球队参与国际大赛的理想打法,那么英格兰别无选择。霍奇森在弱队的执教纪录彪炳史册,他的管理风格是否适合今年夏季的英格兰,要取决于a)球员是否接纳自己是劣势球队的事实和b)他们会否因此而感到挫败。

(种种迹象都表明英格兰缺乏长远的目光。理所当然地,这也造成了英格兰当今的困境。从现在到欧洲杯这段时间,英格兰可以做的事情并不多。在夏季后推倒重来似乎更符合逻辑,放弃竞争欧洲国家杯而把工作重点放在2014年世界杯是一个不错的想法,但这也得视乎英格兰国家队在未来两年会由谁来执掌。预测国家队未来的11人名单是非常困难的一件事,就连本年的名单也让人头痛不已。西奥-沃尔科特在2006年被征召进入国家队,虽然他没有在世界杯亮相,但他大概已吸取了“不错的大赛经验”。英格兰未能在2008年欧洲国家杯出线,他亦未能进入2010年世界杯的名单之内,他的大赛经验并无用武之地。模仿当年征召沃尔科特之举来选用国家队队员无疑于自毁长城。)

忧患

霍奇森出任英格兰主教练的适合性仍存有两个疑问。第一个问题是他是否有足够时间在国家队落实严谨恰当的位置训练,这确实是一个大问题,许多教练觉得两年时间也非常紧绌,而霍奇森却只有一个月。这意味著霍奇森执教的国家队在打法上会更加沉闷,他将会把防守训练放在部署进攻之前。在前文引用过的那篇戴维斯访谈中,威尔士人在结束的时候说,“已经两年半了,我们已经脱胎换骨。”霍奇森的确需要时间,他初到富勒姆之时球队成绩惨不忍睹,后来才逐渐改变过来。

第二个问题就是国家队队员会否尊重霍奇森,愿不愿意遵从他的指示。不过,每一位英格兰主教练都面对过这个问题:法比奥-卡佩罗“过于疏离”,史蒂夫-麦克拉伦却“过于亲密”。霍奇森不是笨蛋,他将会知道他会与那些球员合得来。对于他认为会制造问题的球员,霍奇森必须勇于将他们拒诸门外。

结论

不是说英格兰没有机会夺得欧洲杯,而是雷德克纳普的自由足球风格会令英格兰失去机会。理论上,霍奇森的执教理念可以提高英格兰在小组赛出线的机会。在英格兰这种混乱局势下,小组赛出线才是明智的目标,但当霍奇森把这个目标说出口,或者在完成之后表示满意,胸无大志的批评声必然会把他淹埋。

英格兰必须要尝试挑战冠军,尽管成功几率非常低,但霍奇森出任主教练可以稍微提高英格兰的机会。英格兰的球员实力不足以大打开放足球娱乐大众,霍奇森以体制优先的执教理念才是明智的。
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-4 23:32:24 | 只看该作者
本帖最后由 Alex2011 于 2012-5-4 23:34 编辑

The relationship between possession and shots

May 4, 2012

The graph below shows the relationship between average possession per game (along the bottom) and shots per game (along the side) for the 98 sides in the Premier League, Serie A, Ligue 1, La Liga and the Bundesliga.



All data is taken from the excellent WhoScored website.

As you might expect, there’s a fairly obvious correlation – the more possession you have, the more shots on goal you’re likely to attempt, which is hardly a revelation.

The graph is interesting, however, for two reasons. First, because there are clear differences between the five separate leagues. Second, because there’s a handful of sides that don’t fit the pattern, and a lot of variation amongst the sides who see a lot possession.

The sides who are significantly ‘higher’ on the graph compared to the line of best fit are particularly efficient with possession – they have more shots than you’d expect for the amount of the ball they enjoy. Those who are significantly ‘lower’ are less efficient – they see a lot of the ball but record relatively few shots on goal.

Of course, being more or less efficient is not necessarily ‘better’ – because the sole purpose of possession is not to score a goal. Possession can be used as a defensive tactic to play out time when a side is ahead, and can be used to tire the opposition, before attacking more directly later on. The intention here is not to ‘rank’ sides, but to show their different styles.

Here’s a similar graph breaking the 98 sides into their five respective leagues:



The most interesting pattern here is the Premier League, because so many sides are on the more direct side of things. Swansea, the black dot towards the bottom-right corner, are unique within the division, which explains why there’s been so much discussion of their patient passing game.

A line of best fit for each league also shows the differences:



But what about individual teams? Here, some sides are significantly higher or lower than what we’d consider standard. The most efficient sides average one shot from every 3% of possession, the least efficient teams need 5% to have an attempt.

The most efficient sides are:

  • Manchester City – the light blue dot
  • Real Madrid – the grey dot
  • Tottenham – the light green dot (the top three are virtually indistinguishable)
  • Chelsea – the blue dot
  • Juventus – the black-and-white striped dot

Also of interest are QPR (horizontal stripes) and West Brom (vertical stripes), who both record significantly more shots than you’d expect for their average possession.



The ‘least efficient’ sides are:

  • Ajaccio – the dark blue dot
  • Koln – the green dot
  • Swansea – the orange dot
  • Evian – the purple dot
  • Athletic Bilbao – the red-and-white striped dot

Also of interest are those higher up the possession scale – Bayern Munich are the red dot, Barcelona are the red-and-blue striped dot.

Again, the purpose is not to indicate that a particular style is better – simply that there are big variations. Swansea see more possession than Manchester City, yet have six fewer shots per game. Manchester United have as many shots as Barcelona, despite 12% less possession per game.

In general, more possession will mean more shots – but it’s not always the case.
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